Interactive

Scenario Calculator

Adjust IPO price, exit multiples, and probability weights to see how your incentive unit value changes across the M12–M24 unlock schedule. Double-click any slider to reset it to its default value.

Basis

IPO Price$19.50/sh

Double-click to reset

Exit Price (M24 vs IPO)

Bear exit-40%

Double-click to reset

Base exit+25%

Double-click to reset

Bull exit+80%

Double-click to reset

Probability Weights

Bear weight25%

Double-click to reset

Base weight50%

Double-click to reset

Bull weight25%

Auto: 100% − bear − base

Cumulative Gross Proceeds — M12 to M24

Bear Net

$594,533

Gross − $100K

AT est. $373,962

Base Net

$1,078,226

Gross − $100K

AT est. $678,204

Bull Net

$1,487,505

Gross − $100K

AT est. $935,641

Probability-Weighted Expected Value

$1,059,623

Sell at unlock (~30%): $741,736

Hold to M24 (37.1%): $666,503

Bear 25%

Base 50%

Bull 25%

Gross proceeds = 0.0298% × 170,743,518 shares × stock price at each unlock month (M12–M24). Price interpolated linearly between IPO price (M0) and exit price (M24). Net = gross − $100K participation threshold. After-tax estimates: sell-at-unlock ~30% blended (gains spread 2–3 tax years); hold-to-M24 37.1% marginal (20% LTCG + 3.8% NIIT + 13.3% CA). Consult a CPA — estimates only.